by STREAM admin
PROJECT: Forecasting Reproducibility of Preclinical Cancer Studies
SYNOPSIS: Experts and novices gave subject probability forecasts of preclinical cancer replication studies conducted by the Reproducibility Project: Cancer Biology.
Read the paper here.
See the project page here and more background here.
For more information on how to interpret the results and other FAQs, click here.
Experts: Survey 1
Coadministration of a tumor-penetrating peptide enhances the efficacy of cancer drugs (Sugahara),
Discovery and preclinical validation of drug indications using compendia of public gene expression data (Sirota),
Melanoma genome sequencing reveals frequent PREX2 mutations (Berger)
Rank | Brier score | Name | Institution |
1 | 0.000 | Gerd Pfeifer | Beckman Research Institute (City of Hope) |
2 | 0.004 | Alex Mackenzie | Children’s Hospital of Eastern Ontario/University of Ottawa |
3 | 0.023 | [Consent withheld] | [Consent withheld] |
Group median: 0.31; 95% C.I. [0.26,0.36]
Experts: Survey 2
BET bromodomain inhibition as a therapeutic strategy to target c-Myc (Delmore),
Inhibition of BET recruitement to chromatin as an effective treatment for MLL-fusion leukaemia (Dawnson),
The CD47-signal regulatory preotein alpha (SIRPa) interaction is a therapeutic target for human solid tumors (Willingham)
Rank | Brier score | Name | Institution |
1 | 0.042 | David Bryder | Lund University |
2 | 0.071 | Sourav Bandyopadhyay | UCSF |
3 | 0.076 | Kornelia Polyak | Dana-Farber Cancer Institute |
Group median: 0.40; 95% C.I. [0.35,0.44]
Novices: Survey 1
Coadministration of a tumor-penetrating peptide enhances the efficacy of cancer drugs (Sugahara),
Discovery and preclinical validation of drug indications using compendia of public gene expression data (Sirota),
Melanoma genome sequencing reveals frequent PREX2 mutations (Berger)
Rank | Brier score | Name |
1 | 0.052 | Ruth Franklin |
2 | 0.104 | Taylor Sells |
3 | 0.111 | [Consent withheld] |
Group median: 0.32; 95% C.I. [0.26,0.37]
Do you think you can beat these experts? Write us at forecasting@translationalethics.com or daniel.benjamin2@mail.mcgill.ca to see what other forecasting competitions we are running.
Scores are published with individual forecaster approval.
Contact us at any time if you would like your name removed from our leaderboard.
BibTeX
@Manual{stream2017-1302, title = {Forecast Leaderboard}, journal = {STREAM research}, author = {STREAM admin}, address = {Montreal, Canada}, date = 2017, month = may, day = 31, url = {https://www.translationalethics.com/forecast-scoreboard/} }
MLA
STREAM admin. "Forecast Leaderboard" Web blog post. STREAM research. 31 May 2017. Web. 14 Oct 2024. <https://www.translationalethics.com/forecast-scoreboard/>
APA
STREAM admin. (2017, May 31). Forecast Leaderboard [Web log post]. Retrieved from https://www.translationalethics.com/forecast-scoreboard/